Tuesday, 28 March 2023
by Earn Media
Shares of First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ: FCNCA) ripped nearly 48% higher as of 11:48 a.m. ET after the company announced it had acquired all of Silicon Valley Bridge Bank’s deposits and loans in what looks to be an incredibly attractive deal. The bridge bank was created by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) after it took Silicon Valley Bank into receivership earlier this month.
This deal is very complex and has several components to it.
The FDIC estimates that the failure of SVB will result in a $20 billion loss to the FDIC’s Deposit Insurance Fund, which had about $128 billion at the end of 2022. The fund is paid for by insured financial institutions themselves, through quarterly assessments.
While this deal looks like a huge win for First Citizens — which is consistent with other recent deals involving failed banks — analysts on the bank’s conference call this morning did have some concerns about how sticky the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) deposits would be, in light of the bank run that ultimately led to SVB’s downfall. But I think a lot of clients at SVB realized that they were getting service that was hard to find elsewhere, which is why many ended up returning at least a portion of their deposits back into the bank even after it was taken into receivership.
Credit quality in SVB’s loan book is another question. But the capital call lines in the global fund banking portfolio have had practically zero losses since the product’s inception. I certainly think there will be some losses in the tech, life sciences, and healthcare book, but this is where the loss-sharing agreement comes into play.
The big focus for investors is that the addition of the cash, deposits, and assets at a discount will be massively accretive to (that is, they’ll boost) First Citizens’ earnings power and its tangible book value (TBV, a key baseline for valuing bank stocks).
At the end of 2022, First Citizens had average tangible common equity of roughly $8.3 billion. Management did not provide exact estimates for TBV accretion, but starting with the $16.5 billion discount and then factoring in potential marks related to credit and other factors, it’s certainly not out of the realm of possibility that the deal could effectively double First Citizens’ TBV.
Analysts seemed to estimate somewhere in the range of 50% to 100% TBV accretion, which is simply unheard of in a bank acquisition.
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SVB Financial provides credit and banking services to The Motley Fool. Bram Berkowitz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends SVB Financial. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.